Opportunities Party polls into kingmaker position, complicating coalition math for both blocs

The latest RNZ-Reid Research poll placed the Opportunities Party in a kingmaker position, a result that would complicate coalition-formation arithmetic for both National- and Labour-aligned blocs ahead of the 2026 election. The same poll recorded Labour down 1.8 points to its lowest result since the 2023 election. Hipkins' preferred PM rating fell to 21.3 percent, still ahead of Luxon's 19.9.