Chance of October rise in U.S. rates falls sharply

21.6% chance of U.S. borrowing costs rising in October, down from about 51% a week earlier, Reuters reported October 7, 2026. That is traders' estimate for at least a small, 0.25-point rise. Less expected pressure means loans and savings rates may stay steadier for now. I see it as caution in the betting, not a promise.