Lebanon's Weak Hand: Why Israeli Withdrawal From Lebanon Faces a Credibility Gap

Israel occupies 10 kilometers of southern Lebanon to destroy Hezbollah tunnels violating a 2006 UN resolution. But Lebanon's government and UNIFIL lack capacity to enforce disarmament on Hezbollah or replace Israeli forces. Any ceasefire must answer who verifies tunnel destruction and secures the buffer zone. Neither question has a viable answer, leaving the occupation with no clear exit.