JGB Futures Rally Into BOJ Decision, Betting Against the BOJ's Own Hawkish Signals

JGB Futures Rally Into BOJ Decision, Betting Against the BOJ's Own Hawkish Signals

JGB futures rose during the Tokyo session on July 30, 2026, pricing in a BOJ pause. That contradicts a June 8 WSJ report describing the BOJ as "increasingly inclined to proceed with a rate hike." The two-day meeting concludes July 31. If the BOJ hikes, the late-July rally unwinds; if it holds, hawkish rhetoric from board member Tamura — who proposed a 1.0 percent rate in January — goes unheeded again.

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