Labour Overtakes Reform UK in Polls for First Time Since March 2025

Three pollsters — More In Common, YouGov, and Sky News — show Labour level with or ahead of Reform UK, the first such shift since March 2025. The change, dubbed the "Burnham bounce," followed Andy Burnham's July 20 entry as prime minister, during which he announced cost-of-living and youth-unemployment measures. Reform's lead had already been narrowing amid negative Farage headlines, complicating any single-cause reading. A social care announcement is expected soon.