National hits lowest support under Luxon as fourth-straight decline widens

National fell 2.1 points to 28.7 percent in the RNZ-Reid Research poll conducted 2–9 July, its weakest showing since Christopher Luxon became leader in November 2021 and its fourth consecutive decline in the series. Labour led at 34 percent, down 1.6 points. The governing coalition's projected majority shrank to just two seats, leaving little room for byelections or defections.