The Ceasefire Cycle Is Collapsing: Each Truce Now Lasts Shorter Than the Last

The U.S.-Iran ceasefire lasted barely ten days before both sides resumed strikes over control of the Strait of Hormuz on July 11–13. This mirrors a pattern: June's nuclear-disarmament agreement unraveled within weeks, and July 1's Qatar-brokered extension lasted six days. The June deal faced Iranian skepticism from inception. Each successive truce has narrowed in scope and shortened in duration, suggesting the diplomatic architecture cannot withstand the underlying dispute over maritime access and Iran's nuclear program.