Fuel Shortages Breach Russia's Internal Boundaries as Ukrainian Drone Campaign Cripples Refineries

Ukrainian sustained attacks on Russian oil refineries, depots, and supply routes have reduced Russian oil processing to its lowest level in 16 years. The shortages, initially confined to occupied Crimea, now extend into southern Russia—a geographic breach that signals the attrition campaign is transmitting pressure across Russia's fuel distribution network. A Moscow-area refinery damaged by drones won't resume production in 2026, erasing its annual output.